Future vision scenarios for the world in 2040 pdf download

Oliver freeman in this volatile era where the world changes at such a rapid rate, people are more anxious than ever about what lies ahead. Scenarios and actions preface, introduction, executive summary archives. The philippines energy future and lowcarbon development. Go to 2040 is the comprehensive regional plan to help the seven counties and 284 communities plan together for sustainable prosperity through midcentury and beyond. In this volatile era, with the world changing at a rapid rate. In this volatile era, with the world changing at a rapid rate, people are more anxious than ever about what lies ahead. The forum for the future is a registered charity and a company limited by guarantee, registered in england and wales. The philippines energy sector faces the dual challenges of 1 heavy reliance on fossil fuels and imported energy and 2 high energy demand. Future maker understanding the implications of long term changewhich goes beyond the present understanding foundin the new zealand tourism strategy 2015 the construction of scenarios about the future andposition of tourism in new zealand to 2050 in order todevelop new order, thinking and strategic directions funded by ministries of.

The royal directives of his majesty sultan qaboos bin said stipulate that the future vision oman 2040 will be thoroughly developed and precisely formulated in the light of wide community consensus and participation of the different social groups, so that the vision is fully integrated into the economic and social realities and objectively orientated towards the future foresight, as a key. About this profession may start to another oxide of this crater. Of course, none of them will materialize exactly in this way. Following this, it provides a summary of the input received so far, which has been instrumental in informing this vision and will continue to. Will relentless consumerism end up destroying our planet.

Vision 2040 global scenarios for the oil and gas industry deloitte. Overseas house, 1923 ironmonger row, london, ec1v 3qn, uk. Vision 2040 is a reality for ugandas strategic plans by john vianney ahumuza uganda has adopted a series of national development programmes aimed at transforming the economy. This allowed us to conduct both qualitative and quantitative analysis of the data 6. This document describes the future vision of the army and how we want to fight, while the more specific approach to fighting will be described in followon doctrine. The role of higher education in achieving uganda vision 2040 article pdf available in the social studies 1152018 february 2018 with 3,000 reads how we measure reads. On a global scale, the scenarios energy revolution a sustainable world energy. The multiplicity of factors that influence the directions of the petroleum production chain is huge, making the task of preparing strategies and action plans. The following stories illustrate four potential scenarios about how we will experience mobility by 2040. Media campaigns in the arabic, hebrew and international. Vision 2050 sustainable development knowledge platform. The future of mobility imagining the world in 2040. The outlook for energy is exxonmobil s latest view of energy demand and supply through 2040. Futurevision describes four alternative scenarios for how the world might look in 2040 and provides a methodology for dealing with change the first future envisages a society transformed by science and technology, where geoengineering has fixed climate change and nanotechnology has transformed manufacturing.

World future day 24hour roundtheworld conversion on the future free download. Energy consumption drives economic growth and is a key input for socioeconomic development. Get your kindle here, or download a free kindle reading app. The wem is the principal tool used to generate detailed sectorbysector and regionbyregion projections for the weo scenarios. The experts assessments were analysed and compared in separate groups based on geographical location. Metropolitan chicago is one of the worlds great economic centers, but we cannot afford to take our quality of life for granted. Vision 2040 global scenarios for the oil and gas industry 5 how to read the study few areas of the economy are as volatile literally and figuratively as the oil and gas sector. For many years the outlook for energy has helped inform exxonmobil s longterm business strategies, investment plans, and research programs. To project the likely growth paths during the vision period, two different growth path scenarios have been considered. Which of our four scenarios ends up becoming reality or partial reality is still anyones guess. Section iv provides an overview of the conclusions from scenarios with respect to the 2050 vision. Vision 2040 is a reality for ugandas strategic plans. Work 2040, scenarios for the future of work demos helsinki.

The practice of developing and using scenarios emerged as a way to provide an inclusive and strategic framework enabling big picture thinking and deeper assumptions, choices and options. We expect that continued progress, powered by human ingenuity and technology, will help make better lives possible, while appropriately addressing climate risks. Or can science and technology allow us to innovate our way out of trouble. Scenarios for the future of tourism in new zealand. With the worlds population estimated to reach more than 9 billion people in 2040, providing enough affordable energy to help improve global living standards is a significant challenge. Stanford iran 2040 project hamid and christina moghadam. Richard watson born 1961 is an english author, lecturer and futurist known for his 2007 book future files. Evolution of combined arms for the 21st century 20252040 version 1. By ross dawson recently i did the opening keynote to the top executive team of a major organization at their strategy offsite. Established in 2016, the stanford iran 2040 project is an academic initiative that serves as a hub for academic researchers all around the world, particularly the iranian diaspora scholars, to conduct research on issues related to the future of the iranian economy and evaluate their possible implications in a global context. Biodiversity 20112020 and its 2050 vision, on the 2030 agenda for sustainable development and on other relevant global frameworks. In this volatile era, with the world changing rapidly, people are more curious than ever to know what lies ahead. Since 1993, the iea has provided medium to longterm energy projections using the world energy model wem a largescale simulation model designed to replicate how energy markets function.

Microsoft future vision film 2040 how could emerging technologies transform the way we get things done 510 years in the future. These visionary stories explore prediction science, quantum computing, realtime translation, machine learning, and much more. Agriculture, fishing, community forestry, artisanal and smallscale manufacturing and mining are important sources of subsistence and cash income in rural png. Scenarios for the world in 2040 richard watson and oliver freeman on. We further subcategorize reference scenarios into reference 2015 and reference pre2015 to indicate the base year of current policies and capture. Access to clean energy is considered vital for modern living and a necessary element for all production sectors to function well. Increased energy demand due to social and demographic factors. The national vision is a transformed ugandan society from a peasant to a modern. The future vision provides also basis for future uses including.

They provide the foundation to imagine, dream and mentally travel to the future. However, the likely growth path will be between the two scenarios. As it can be noted, if there is no change in the current status. The energy outlook explores the forces shaping the global energy transition out to 2040 and the key uncertainties surrounding that transition.

However, few of them describe the pathway to a 100% renewable energy future that includes all major renewable technologies and solar thermal systems in particular. Vision 2040 global scenarios for the oil and gas industry. To help you do that, futurevision gives you 4 basic scenarios of the world as a whole. Futurevision books about current and future trends by. World energy council scenarios use innovative collaboration, interactive experiences, rigorous research, and analysis to map out plausible energy futures. Incomeearning opportunities through micro, small and medium enterprise. In particular, questions and answers are provided as to the benefit of pension schemes, universal health converge, paternal work leave, and income security for the working age population. Will relentless consumerism end up destroying our planet, or can science. The role of higher education in achieving uganda vision 2040. A world of fear fantastic scenarios on how the world could look like in 2040. The countless positive daily actions of government leaders go largely unrecognized amidst a.

By offering four possible scenarios for the world in 2040, we recognize that the decisions people make today will have a profound impact on the way our companies, governments, societies and institutions operate in the future. In recent years a variety of energy scenarios were developed. However, altogether they draw a picture and exhibit significant artefacts people will recognize then. It shows how rising prosperity drives an increase in global energy demand and how that demand will be met over the coming decades through a diverse range of supplies including oil, gas, coal and renewables. Its not appropriate to share the full presentation, however i can share the rough scenarios i presented for the world to 2030. Adaptive path, in turn, asked me to help them think through what the internet and the world of 2020 might look like, so that they would have a better sense of how a future firefox might be used. Scenarios for achieving the upper middle income status by 2040 3. Drawing on examples from thailand to kuwait to brazil, she outlines the future of social welfare protection set amid a growing economy and rapidly changing world.

Members of the program aspire that political, media and academic groups promote and develop these action plans provided. Strategic foresight and scenario planning for the future why scenarios world is complex political, economic, social, technological, ecological future is uncertain critical uncertainties weak signals forecasts are wrong predetermined elements structure given, only variables are changing possibility vs probability space scenarios are needed global, specific. In order to move toward a sustainable future the world will need to address all dimensions of this chart. New policy scenarios an overview sciencedirect topics. Pdf scenario development process for the future of urban. In this volatile era, with the world changing rapidly, people are more c. We first draw a distinction between reference scenarios that estimate indias energy future based on the current policy environment, and policy scenarios that model aspirational policies. Exploiting the delphi results significance targeted scenarios outline.

Shell scenarios since the 1970s have helped us understand how the world and its energy system could evolve in decades to come. Original science fiction stories inspired by microsoft is an anthology of short stories written by some of todays greatest science fiction authors. Scenario development process for the future of urban mobility 2040. Pdf space exploration has always been full of inspiration, innovation. It takes into account emerging development opportunities including the discovery of oil and gas reserves, erevolution, globalization and economic integration, among others. The shell scenarios team brings together experts from an array of disciplines to understand versions of the future.